It's not the first time the conforming loan limit has been threatened with a reduction, and it's not the first the associations have sounded the alarm bells.
The prevailing argument for lowering the limits is being made by those who consider the conforming loan limit to already be excessively high.
"No one with a mortgage greater than $625,000 needs a subsidy," writes Daniel Indiviglio in a recent column for the Atlantic. "First, let's think about who keeping the mortgage limit high helps: relatively affluent individuals."
Most families use what are called "conforming" loans, or those backed by the Federal Home Administration, to purchase their homes. Congress sets the limits for these loans. The current limits are set to automatically reset to lower limits by Oct. 1.
In high cost areas like Orange County, the cap for these federally backed loans will drop to $625,500 from $729,750.
In short, what this means is that buyers who need a loan that exceeds the new limit will be forced to obtain a "jumbo" mortgage loan, which is often considerably more expensive.
"If you think about it, you're going to get rid of a pool of buyers," said Stuart Thomas, owner of RE/MAX Select One, which has offices in Huntington Harbour, Huntington Beach, Dana Point, San Juan Capistrano and soon, Laguna Niguel. "It's tough enough to buy a home as it is. All of a sudden you start telling somebody you got to come in with 10% or 20% down."
If this limit is lowered, it means if someone purchasing a home for $700,000, the $25,000 to $30,000 they need to get in the door becomes somewhere in the neighborhood of $70,000, Thomas said.
He noted that the average home price in many areas of Orange County is around $600,000.