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The Bell Curve

JOSEPH N. BELL --

September 28, 2000

If one of those pollsters were to ask me today how I planned to vote

on the Greenlight initiative, or Measure S, I would probably show up in

the "undecided" column. And I suspect there are a lot of other local

residents who would show up there with me.

For many weeks now, I've been following the Greenlight debate at

dinner parties, as well as in the news pages and letters column of the

Pilot, without reaching any kind of conclusion. It rather reminds me of a

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magazine piece I did many years ago in which I interviewed Edward Teller

and Linus Pauling separately and at considerable length over the issue of

atomic testing in the atmosphere.

Pauling said it would poison all of us. Teller said it wouldn't cause

any harm at all, and, besides, it was essential to our national defense.

At the end of the second day, as I was packing up my tape recorder

after hanging out with Pauling, I said to him: "Where am I supposed to

come down? I've just spent two days with two Nobel Prize winners who have

taken exactly opposite positions on a scientific matter of critical

importance to the citizens of this country. So who do I believe?"

And Pauling smiled his elfin smile and said: "Who did you like the

best?"

Well, Pauling's answer wasn't altogether flippant -- and is about the

only certain yardstick I've been able to apply so far to Greenlight.

There's not much question in my mind that the Greenlight people are a

lot more likable than the heavy hitters who want to build out Newport

Beach and seem to have a hand on the collective shoulder of the City

Council. The patronizing arrogance that I see the council members showing

toward the passionate advocates of Greenlight is almost enough to push me

over.

But not quite. Not yet.

I'm deeply wary of town-meeting government. It worked reasonably well

in the small towns of Colonial America, where landowning men would gather

to debate issues and make collective decisions.

But government was simpler in those days, and as it became more

complex, it became clear that it was both awkward and expensive for every

issue of import to be voted on by the public. Thus representative

government became the norm at every level.

Greenlight, it seems to me, would be a kind of throwback to the town

meeting. The argument on behalf of Greenlight that only 15 special

elections would have been required over the last decade seems to me an

argument against it. That's a lot of expensive, time-consuming special

elections.

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